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Michael Pachter: PlayStation 4 Will Launch in 2013

Posted by Sammy Barker

Crystal ball

Likeable industry analyst Michael Pachter believes that Sony will release the next PlayStation console in October or November of next year. The chatty Wedbush Securities employee told the latest issue of PLAY magazine that he doesn’t believe the platform holder “wants to launch behind Microsoft again”.

He added: "It isn't likely that they will launch earlier, as it doesn't make sense to get out too far in front of software, and I'm pretty confident that few developers have been working on PS4 games for more than a year or so. Holiday 2013 will be a comfortable window for Sony, and will give them a chance to get a head start on Microsoft."

Despite the imminent arrival of the next generation, Pachter reckons that the PlayStation 3 will continue to sell. "The PS3 probably has a solid three years left for sales, so it should make it comfortably to a 10-year life span," he said. "There are a lot of people who are uncomfortable spending $250 for a console, so I think price cuts to the $199, $149 and $99 will extend the life of the console."

We've been hearing rumours about the PS4 – or Orbis as it's known internally – for a while now. The most recent spate of speculation suggested that the console would be announced at an event prior to E3 next year.

[via nowgamer.com]

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User Comments (18)

Ginkgo

#1

Ginkgo said:

The timing is not what is most important. What matter are the specs of the PS4 Vs XBox720 and the price!

rjejr

#2

rjejr said:

Isn't the Xbox720 also supposed to announce this year, meaning the PS4 wouldn't be first?
And when was the last time Sony announced and released in the same calendar year?
I can't even imagine what the PS4 will entail, while I'm guessing the Next Xbox will just be souped up w/ an improved Kinect in every box.

Hokori

#3

Hokori said:

@Ginkgo Specs don't matter, the price is the only thing that would matter, they can't pull another Vita/PS3 they'll lose a lot of money, Ill bet they'll do something similar to WiiUs Miiverse and GamePad sadly.... :(

JayMiller1988

#4

JayMiller1988 said:

I've been anticipating the PS4, but with them being BB-, they may want to wait until price of equipment goes down. What really killed PS3 for me buying it any time soon after its launch was the price- and it's still a $249.99 system last I checked.

PS3 is a great system, but they really need to be innovative with features (for the consumer) and specs (for the devs), at least that would be the perfect system I'd buy.

Squiggle55

#6

Squiggle55 said:

the two things that will make me buy a PS4 are
1)Impressive connectivity with the Vita - widespread remote play and cross controller compatibility
2)whenever I need to switch over to keep getting the most out of PS+

moomoo

#7

moomoo said:

Now I have Styx stuck in my head because of that header.

Thank you, Sammy.

hamispink

#8

hamispink said:

I think that for the ps4 to succeed Sony just needs 3 things.

  • A standard controller, that is a slight variation on the dualshock 3, because microsoft will focus on kinect, Nintendo is focusing on the gamepad, but I'd assume most gamers just want a quality controller that they are comfortable with. Give me the same controller with indented thumbsticks and triggers like the ps move's and I'll be very happy.
  • Price. If the PS4 releases next year at $400, it would put in position to own the holidays and allow most any gamer the chance to buy one without too much of an afterthought.
  • Games and simplicity. Sony needs to come out swinging with the PS4 with games that appeal to the core gamer. Along with full third party support, they must make it easy for consumers to get the most out of those games. Keep accessories simple to use and cheap(headsets) and make psn work for all games without the consumer having to think twice; This is what it will take for PSN to take over xbox live any time soon.

edit: tl;dr - Sony can appeal to the core gamer by keeping the console simple, intuitive, and cheap. This is what made the ps1 and ps2 so popular.

Gamer83

#9

Gamer83 said:

I don't think Sony will be able to beat MS to the market but if it can release PS4 near the same time at $400 and have Uncharted 4 or something else from Naughty Dog, that'd be a much better start than the PS3 got off to.

get2sammybAdmin

#11

get2sammyb said:

You guys are crazy. I want the PS4 to be an absolute powerhouse. It might not be the most practical business decision, but, heck, I want to be blown away.

rastamadeus

#13

rastamadeus said:

Couldn't care less. Only been a year of me having a PS3 so I'm gonna be happy with that - and the Wii U - for a good few years yet.

Savino

#14

Savino said:

There will be no powerhouse this gen. Consoles will not break the 400bucks barrier, simply because EU, USA and JPN arent in their best financial position!
600 bucks console like the ps3 are impossible to sustain nowadays.

Sony will walk into the Nintendos Place for sure! The company is desperataly coping nintendo in the last years, so, you can expexct a PSHome right at your screen, like miiverse and a exclusive wifi chip to connect to vita (like wii u have)!

Microsoft will launch some wierd media center, powered by windows 8, that connects even your elevator, with kinect, and in some way can even play games.

Kayoss

#15

Kayoss said:

@HarmoKnight
Why would they need a game pad when they have a PS Vita? If spec dont matter, then whats the point of releaseing a next Gen console? Look at Nintendo with the Wii, they knew that if they dont upgrade to better specs then they will be soon be left behind therefore you have a Wii U. I dont understand your logic with this comment. When new consoles are release it incorporate new technology and new hardware that lead to higher prices. Its just common sense. If you dont care about specs then why dont you just stay with your PS3, Xbox 360, or the Wii, then money wouldnt be an issue.

Hokori

#16

Hokori said:

@Kayoss Because they make new games, but the games could all be 8-bit for all I care! Also WiiU and wii are 2 entirely different consoles, it not just a wii with HD, just like the 3DS isn't just a DS with 3DS and how the PS2 wasn't just a PSOne with DVDs

hydeks

#17

hydeks said:

@get2sammyb agreed, I want the next PlayStation to be super powerful, like Sony usually seems to do.

honestly though, I think PS4 will come out 2014, maybe see something this year around e3 time, but I think a PS4 won't come till 2014, at the earliest.

NathanUC

#18

NathanUC said:

I'm all for power and all, but I understand if Sony doesn't focus on it this time around. As long as my games look great with 1080p as a standard (and more 3D and 7.1 please...) I'll be plenty happy.

As others mention: I want more PS4+ Vita options, a solid stream of well made first party games (Killzone 4, GT6, new Ratchet and Clank, Resistance 4, Uncharted 4, inFAMOUS, etc).

Backwards compatibility will be nice but I'm fairly sure it won't happen due to the unique architecture of the ps3's cell processor. I see this as being a big problem for most consumers even though it's a rather silly point to be upset about in my opinion.

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