They were wrong. Extremely wrong in fact, as David Cage has confirmed that the thriller has shifted over one million copies since its release in late February.
The visionary told Play3.de: We have sold more than 1 million copies of Heavy Rain worldwide. That was a surprise to many, since estimated sales were between 200,000 to 300,000 units. We estimate that by the end of the year, we will have sold 1.5 million copies, and are very pleased with the reception.
Despite its success though, Cage freely admits the game was a gamble.
Our game isnt an action game, its not a role-playing game, [and] its not an adventure. It isnt in any one genre. When you create a new, convention-busting game to the market, its always a risk, both for the developer and the publisher.
This is fantastic news for Quantic Dream, Sony and the future of story-driven games; a field that Playstation really seems to be driving with the likes of Uncharted 2 and this.