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Topic: Last Of Us: Part 2 Release date prediction

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Thunderlips69

We are very much deep in 2019 and the big elephant in the room (Last Of Us 2) is still shrouded with more questions than answers, now one of the biggest questions is "when does it actually release"? now if the rumors are to be believed, then all signs point to this year but as we near the end of February, doubts very much start to take over as to if this game does indeed release this year.

Lets simplify things, since the start of this Generation, Sony has followed a very choreographed release pattern for it's first party titles, and that is that every title they have released has had a 2 yr & 9 months at the latest time frame, from the point of reveal to release & it has delivered on this time frame for every single exclusive except 2 (Last Guardian & Dreams) every other game has made that window

Infamous Second Son
BloodBourne
Uncharted 4
Detroit
Horizon
God Of War
Spider - MAN etc..

Now taking into account the upcoming Exclusives along with Last Of Us 2, let's see how their status is towards this goal.

Days Gone- On track to make the release window (APRIL 2019)
Ghost Of Tsushima- On track to make release window (If released before June 2020)
Death Stranding - Failed to make the release window (Would have to release before June 2019 to make it)
Dreams - Failed release timeframe ( had to release by Early 2017 to make the window)
Last Of Us 2 - On track to make the window (If released by before December 2019)

Now putting this into context, both Death Stranding & Dreams failing the pattern wasn't a surprise given the circumstances of development.

Death Stranding is an ambitious title that only begun development in the same year as the studio's launch (2016) it would never make the 2 yrs & 9 month window.

And Dreams suffered so much issues during it's development that the game was scrapped & restarted twice, so that explains why this game is on it's 5th yr post reveal & still not released.

Now taking all this into account lets look at Last Of Us 2, it was revealed in December 2016, by December 2017 the game according to Neil Drunkmen himself was 60% complete....by December 2018 the final bits of Motion Capture were done ( Motion capture is the final stage before polishing in most games) that would mean the game is well within it's final stages, now this isn't taking into account the multiplayer aspect of course but even then the rumours seem too strong for the game not to make the 2019 release window.

"But we are already in late February & no word on a release yet".......true but i wouldn't worry too much about that, there are 9 months until November (which is the month i predict will be the slot for the game) December is out of the question.....

Now when you think about it.....God Of War's April 20th 2018 release date was only confirmed in January 2018....3 months before the release..

And here's the most interesting of all, Spider-Man's September 7th release date was confirmed on April 5th 2018...that's 15 days before GOW released......and this has been a trend for Sony also to announce a new release date for an exclusive just before the release of another exclusive. in fact just 1 month before Spider-Man's release date confirmation, Detroit had it's release date confirmed on March 1st for a May 25th date.

Now......Days Gone is the upcoming PlayStation exclusive on April 26th.....so i'm willing to bet that The Last Of Us 2 release date is confirmed in the first few days of April...now....it could very well be Dreams also, because that is also slated for 2019...then again they could do like last year & announce the dreams release date in early March & then the Last Of Us 2 release date 1 month later in early April.

They could also play it close to the chest and Announce the release date on June 14th, which just so happens to be the 6 yr anniversary of Last Of Us 1...but i doubt that one will happen.

All this is just me overthinking things, mabye i'm wrong about it all but Sony's pattern has been very simplistic to follow over the past few years & unless they are feeling frisky in the last years of PS4's cycle, i don't see them changing this pattern...

So with all this taken into account, here is my prediction for how this all goes.

I'm excluding Dreams since that is due to release in form of Early access this Spring, so the full release could be at any point from Spring till Early 2020...

Last Of Us 2 Release date is confirmed in early April just before Days Gone launches, and i believe it will be September or November 2019

Death Stranding will not release in 2019 but rather in Spring or Fall 2020
Ghost Of Tsushima will likely take the April 2020 date

None of these will be PS5 titles because i believe PS5 will have Backward Compatibility.

Thunderlips69

Frigate

I'm with you. I think TLoU gets confirmed release in Q1 or 2 with release in Q3 or 4. Doesn't need to be a massive hit but one more elegant feather in the cap of Sony will be very nice.

Edited on by Frigate

Frigate

JohnnyShoulder

Apparently Death Stranding is a lot closer to being finished that some people think. It is also could be a shorter experience that some are expecting.

We are now in a world of people being offended for other people who they think should be offended, who arent offended.

PSN: JohnnyShoulder

Octane

All I know is that at least one of big three – Death Stranding, Ghost of Tsushima and The Last of Us Part II – is coming out this year. Depending on when the PS5 is planned to release, they could launch the two other games next year, but maybe we'll get one in early September and one in late October of this year. Anything's possible really.

Octane

Kidfried

2020, a perfect swan song for the gaming behemoth that is the PS4.

Kidfried

JohnnyShoulder

I said it elsewhere on this ere forum, I reckon Sony will use TLOU2 as a one last final push to sell PS4 consoles in bundles. Ghosts and Death Stranding seem less marketable to me than TLOU2.

We are now in a world of people being offended for other people who they think should be offended, who arent offended.

PSN: JohnnyShoulder

ThroughTheIris56

I don't think they'd announce TLOU2 release date close to Day's Gone's release. I'd imagine Sony wants all the attention on Day's Gone during that time, and something like TLOU2 would take away from that.

But I reckon the game could come out this year or in the first half of 2020, same with Ghost of Tsushima and maybe Death Stranding. I'd hope that with GoT, since thats been in development since 2014.

Edited on by ThroughTheIris56

ThroughTheIris56

Thunderlips69

@ThroughTheIris56 I see where you are coming from with it diverting attention away from the Days Gone argument but I'd argue that it would actually put more attention on Days Gone since it's very similar to Last Of Us in a way. That way we would have the Last Of Us 2 release date out of the way before Days Gone.

Lets not forget that Spider-Man got it's release date confirmed just 2 weeks before GOW released & it didn't overshadow GOW, even though Spider - Man the bigger hyped of the 2, just like Last Of Us 2 is over Days Gone.

Thunderlips69

Octane

@Thunderlips69 Spider-Man and God of War are very different games. Now, TLOU and Days Gone are too, but the question is whether the general public will be able to see that. I've seen plenty of people say that it's an open world TLOU, and that Sony shouldn't release two zombie games in the same year. So yeah, I do think that a lot of people do see those games as ''similar'', regardless of whether that's true or not. Either way, Dreams doesn't have a confirmed release date either, so unless TLOU comes out in the first half of 2019, there's no need to announce a release date.

Octane

JJ2

@Octane
That maybe true, that a lot of people see these games as 'similar' whatever that means. However I think Sony should ignore the misinformation and not act as if it were real. On the opposite, it may not hurt to show off the difference.

JJ2

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